Matthew
Yglesias
S
|
an Francisco is a great American city. And
Google is a great American company. But the two are having some trouble getting
along. Last week, anti-eviction protestors surrounded one of Google’s private
shuttle buses, which transport employees from their urban homes to the
company’s suburban campus, and staged a phony incident in which an alleged
Googler unleashed his contempt for the city’s lower orders.
Then, just in time for the backlash to the
anti-Google backlash, prominent local startup CEO Greg Gopman delivered the
real deal in the form of a Facebook rant decrying the San Francisco poor as, in
essence, uppity. In other cities, Gopman wrote, “the lower part of society keep
to themselves” and “realize it’s a privilege to be in the civilized part of
town and view themselves as guests.”
With tensions running high, perhaps a breakup
is in order.
The Bay Area is sick and tired of the antics
of entitled techies, and the nouveaux riches want a place where they’ll be
appreciated. It’s time for federal authorities to step in and move the show
someplace else. Cleveland, say.
After all, every big city has its share of obnoxious protesters and obnoxious overclassers. What makes the tensions in the Bay Area especially extreme is the fearsome competition over scarce resources—specifically housing and office space.
The influx of money, young people, and
business investment into Silicon Valley hasn’t led to a construction boom and
the urbanization of the area. Instead, the local towns continue to insist on
strict, suburban-style zoning that essentially rules out new housing supply.
Nor are city officials in San Francisco interested in rezoning to allow for
more population in a city that’s currently only about half as dense as
Brooklyn.
The mass transit system, likewise, strains to cope with current
demands (a situation not helped by the cultural gaps between the tech set and
other transit stakeholders). Local officials are unable or unwilling to reform
Caltrain in a way that would make it a useful regional transit, and again, Valley
officials won’t zone for the creation of giant office towers in downtown
Mountain View and Palo Alto that would make more transit-oriented development
workable.
So instead of the tech boom leading to
broadly-based prosperity, it leads to private buses and skyrocketing house
prices. If I called the shots, I would change these policies. But if that’s not
going to happen, a divorce is the second-best solution.
The problem is that it’s not going to happen
on its own.
Large tech companies like to be where the highest concentration of
skilled tech workers is. Entrepreneurs want to be where the venture capitalists
are. Venture capitalists want to be near both the skilled workers who can staff
new firms and the established firms who may buy the companies. People with
skills want to go where the venture capital and the employers are. Individual
people or small firms can and do leave, in search of cheaper houses or other
amenities, but in doing so they give up substantial benefits of agglomeration.
And when they do leave, they tend to scatter—some to Austin, some to New York,
a few to the Boston area, Zappos is even in Las Vegas—rather than building a
new hub.
Zappos is even in Las Vegas—rather than building a new hub.
What’s needed is for a critical mass—say
Google and Apple and Facebook and Twitter—to move all at once, to the same
place, thus immediately creating a new tech hub. With the startups and VC firms
left behind, Silicon Valley and San Francisco will still be a vibrant industry
hub. But the departure of thousands of highly compensated employees of four
tech giants will provide a great deal of relief to the local real estate
market.
Meanwhile, our New Tech Metropolis will have
enough local engineering talent and acquisition money that it will inevitably
develop a startup scene of its own.
The only question is where?
All you need is a
city that has bigger problems than douche-y Facebook posts, creating plenty of
room for local housing investment to become a win-win rather than an engine of
displacement. Cities such as Buffalo, N.Y., or Pittsburgh come to mind,
although unlike Detroit and Cleveland, they lack a major airport. Plans to save
Detroit, however, are a bit cliché at this point, and I worry that any tech hub
you tried to build there would naturally drift over to Ann Arbor, Mich.,
anyway. But Cleveland’s got plenty of affordable housing, plenty of available
office space, flights to every important North American city, and even its own
Federal Reserve bank.
The relocation of big tech companies to the
North Coast would immediately create new business and employment opportunities
in terms of high-end dining, fancy coffee, and other Bay Area amenities but
without crowding out existing local businesses.
Cleveland’s local tech
companies would stand a better chance of getting investment, and over time,
some employees of the big four relocators would leave and launch their own
startups or VC firms. The Bay Area economy, meanwhile, will cool down
considerably without negatively impacting real living standards for most
people, since much of the lost activity will simply translate into cheaper real
estate prices. Firms left behind will even find it easier to expand.
Obviously, this would be much more laborious
than simply building more Silicon Valley where it already exists. But if the
politics of increased density are too difficult, relocation really is the next
best thing.
The Greenhouse Tavern is delicious, LeBron might be coming back to
the Cavaliers, and there’s even a casino conveniently located right downtown.
Throw in a few technology giants, and it could be the next great American city.
Get excited, Googlers—you’re gonna love it.
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